Why Russia’s Foreign Minister May Have A Murky Future
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Has Russia’s foreign minister become a fall guy? Getty Images You might call it the new Kremlinology. During the decades of the Cold War, keeping track of who was in political favor, and who had fallen from grace, in the Kremlin’s corridors of power became a professional vocation within the Washington Beltway. Intelligence analysts and Sovietologists alike pored over pictures of Communist Party meetings and official gatherings to identify who was sitting next to whom, who was conspicuously absent, and how those positions had in an effort to predict what could come next in the Soviet Union’s mercurial power politics. With the USSR’s collapse, Kremlinology became largely passe, as fewer and fewer experts focused in earnest on the ins-and-outs of palace intrigue in Moscow. But now the practice is back with a vengeance. Since the start of the Ukraine war in 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s hirings, firings, reshuffles and demotions have been scrutinized in minute detail as policymakers in Washington and other Western capitals try to get a sense of where Moscow’s military misadventure might be headed. The latest subject of this speculation is Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. A regime stalwart who has long carried Putin’s water (and boosted his neo-imperial agenda), Lavrov has been conspicuously absent in recent days from a number of high-profile functions. The Foreign Minister, usually a fixture, failed to attend a meeting of Russia’s National Security Council on November 5th – purportedly “by agreement” (presumably with Putin). He was also cut out of Russia’s delegation to the upcoming G20 meeting in South Africa later this month, with a much more junior official, Deputy Chief of Staff Maxim Oreshkin, tapped to lead the Russian team instead. To hear Russian officials tell it, of course, things are still very much business as usual. “There is…
Filed under: News - @ November 10, 2025 7:28 pm