Will Bitcoin Bounce Back? Traders Place Their Bets on a Rocky Q4, Data Shows
The post Will Bitcoin Bounce Back? Traders Place Their Bets on a Rocky Q4, Data Shows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
So far, Bitcoin has seen significant volatility in the last trading session, hinting at frail investor sentiment. Earlier today, the asset soared to as high as $57,300. However, the asset now appears to have run out of steam after reaching this mark as it trades at $55,966, down by 1.6%. This surge in volatility is a sign that the market has become more fearful as traders watch several key technical levels. However, the latest data suggests a shift in trader patterns as more defensive strategies are sought. Analysts from the ETC Group report have noted a substantial increase in the open interest in Bitcoin options, pointing towards a strategic preference for downside protection. This is illustrated by the spike in implied volatility for short-dated options, indicative of more near-term price action. Insights from the Options Market: A Glimpse into Trader Sentiments The Bitcoin options trading market has given a glimpse of the current market mood. Recent data from Deribit show a put-call ratio—a metric that compares the trading volume of put options versus call options—higher than 1, indicating that the market is still bearish based on what traders are doing. This ratio indicates a higher volume of trades betting on or hedging against a further price drop. The fact that we are seeing such alignment in the market indicates a sizable segment of the market is bracing for the possibility of Bitcoin continuing its descent. ETC Group analysts agree with such a view, noting the peculiar term structure of volatility: higher implied volatilities in short-dated options versus longer-dated ones—a traditional characteristic of excessive bearishness on the market. The analysts particularly noted: Both the spike in put-call volume ratios as well as 1-month 25-delta option skew signalled a significant increase in demand for downside protection. BTC option implied volatilities have also…
Filed under: News - @ July 9, 2024 1:26 am