The post Will Bitcoin repeat the 2021 ‘gasoline fractal’? THIS data says… appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Bitcoin has held a relatively firm structure despite escalating geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, the Gulf states, and Iran. The market has absorbed repeated shocks, yet Bitcoin continues to trade without a decisive breakdown. At the time of writing, Bitcoin [BTC] hovered around $71,000, showing resilience under pressure. This suggests that current macro headwinds have not impacted price action as severely as anticipated, particularly when compared to the sharp dislocation seen during the liquidation event on the 10th of October, 2025. However, beneath this stability, a developing pattern signals potential weakness ahead. Energy markets and Bitcoin: A resurfacing correlation The ongoing conflict has significantly disrupted global energy markets. Concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, alongside refinery outages, have driven gasoline prices higher and tightened supply conditions. Amid this backdrop, a fractal pattern has emerged linking Bitcoin’s price action with gasoline market movements, echoing a structure last observed in 2021. This relationship is reflected in the Bitcoin–RBOB Gasoline Futures Continuous Contract (NYMEX: RB1!), which tracks Bitcoin against the nearest expiring gasoline futures contract. Current chart behavior shows a notable alignment between both assets. Source: Alphractal Bitcoin appears to have rejected a key resistance trendline, formed a lower high, and entered a downward trajectory, closely mirroring its 2021 setup. During that cycle, the pattern unfolded gradually before reaching a definitive bottom. A similar path may now be forming. With no confirmed price floor in place, current conditions suggest Bitcoin could extend its decline before establishing a base, potentially setting up the next long-term rally phase. Liquidity contraction signals caution Global M2 supply remains a critical indicator for assessing market direction and identifying potential bottoms. As a measure of total liquid money across major economies, M2 reflects the capital available for deployment into financial assets, including Bitcoin. Recent data shows a…

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Filed under: News - @ March 25, 2026 3:29 am